A Donald Trump victory in 2020, while no sure thing, is a lot easier, and far more simple, than media pundits would like us to believe. Regardless of who carries the Democratic mantle in 2020, Trump’s path to victory is pretty straightforward.
The long and short of it is that Trump can afford to lose 34 of the 304 electoral votes he garnered in 2016, which would still leave him with the 270 votes needed for victory in 2020. Assuming he wins every other state that he won in 2016, he could afford to lose Ohio (18), Michigan (16), or Pennsylvania (20) and still win reelection. That’s or, not and.
If he wins Ohio, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, he could afford to lose a couple of states he won in 2016 by slim margins, such as Arizona (11), where he won by 3.5%, Wisconsin (10), where he won by 1.8%, and even North Carolina (15), where he won by 3.7%. Given that Scott Walker lost his bid for a third term as governor of Wisconsin, coupled with the fact that Trump only won that state by a slim 1.8% margin, Wisconsin’s 10 electoral votes could very well be lost to the Dirty Dems in 2020. Arizona and North Carolina, however, are relatively safe.
In addition, Trump has a shot at winning Minnesota’s 10 electoral votes and Nevada’s six votes, both of which he lost by small margins in 2016 (1.6% and 2.4%, respectively). Even Virginia, with 13 electoral votes, could be in play, thanks to Ralph Northam’s embarrassing penchant for the Ku Klux Klan and infanticide, but right now that’s still a longshot.
The most important state Trump has to win is Florida (29 votes), which he carried by only 1.2% in 2016. Losing Florida plus any other state with six or more electoral votes would mathematically eliminate him and most likely bring an end to the United States of America as we know it.
I should also mention that because Bonehead Beto came within a couple of points of beating heavily favored Ted Cruz for the open senate seat in Texas, many Republicans are nervous about the possibility that the Democrats could turn the state blue and pick off its 38 electoral votes. That, of course, would be a signal that it’s time for you to move your assets and your family out of the country — posthaste. The good news is that the possibility of Trump losing Texas is remote.
Keeping all of the above in mind, I would urge Trump’s advisors to lay out a two-pronged strategy between now and election day, as follows:
First, President Trump should spend 85 percent of his campaigning time in Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Florida, and 10 percent of his time in North Carolina, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Arizona, Nevada, and Texas (the latter as an insurance policy). In addition, he should at least test the waters in Virginia to see if an upset might be possible.
Second, he should completely ignore the shouting, screaming, insults, and demands that will be coming at him from the Radical Left. Rudy Giuliani, Jay Sekulow, and other high-level Trump advisors should follow the Dirty Dems’ lead and resist turning over any information whatsoever to Shifty Schiff’s and Nebbish Nadler’s investigative committees. Trump and his attorneys/advisors should refuse to cooperate with them in any way or in any other witch hunt investigations that arise.
When the Dirty Dems dig up imaginary new crimes in the Mueller report or in their own bogus investigations — which they are sure to do — the best response to their accusations and threats is no response at all. Trump only needs to stall for 19 months, at which time Republicans will hopefully take back the House and the Dirty Dems can go back to crying about how unfairly the majority treats them.
Nothing in life is 100 percent guaranteed, but stalling, ignoring, and focusing on Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Florida is the surest path to defeating public enemy No. 1 — the Democratic Party. Another 14 years of Trump, then Pence, and the Democratic Party could be reduced to a permanent underground revolutionary force. I don’t mean that figurately; I mean it literally.
Whether or not it gets to that point depends almost entirely on Republicans, starting with Donald Trump, then Mike Pence. The Democrats will do their part to make it happen, guaranteed. The only question is whether Republicans have finally learned their lesson and are fully prepared to bury the anti-life, anti-freedom, anti-American Democratic Party once and for all.